Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Magdalena travel to face Santa Fe on Thursday 6 August in the Copa Colombia – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Santa Fe, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Once Caldas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Union Magdalena, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Orsomarso, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Santa Fe, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Union Magdalena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 1.6 xG, Union Magdalena 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 56%, draw 26%, Union Magdalena 18%.
Lower-risk option: Santa Fe or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 1–0 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Fe56%fair 1.78 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.75
Union Magdalena18%fair 5.64 · @4.75
2.39Expected goals
1.58Santa Fe xG
0.82Union Magdalena xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.6 – 0.8 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santa Fe
Union Magdalena
Attack vs Copa Colombia average
-5%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.46
0.82
Our own ratings from every Copa Colombia result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Double chance
Santa Fe or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.90
Draw no bet
Santa Fe (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Union Magdalena +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.09
First team to score
Santa Fe to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Santa Fe – last 6
DWLWWW
3 Aug
vs Once Caldas
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Caracas FC
3–0
W
26 Jul
@ Águilas Doradas
1–2
L
24 Jul
vs Caracas FC
2–0
W
28 May
@ Penarol
1–0
W
20 May
vs Platense
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union Magdalena – last 6
DLDDWL
1 Aug
vs Orsomarso
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Bogota FC
0–1
L
21 May
vs Bogota FC
0–0
D
17 May
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
12 May
vs Real Cartagena
3–0
W
9 May
@ Real Cartagena
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Fe and Union Magdalena.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Magdalena 18%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–0 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena?
Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
