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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union Magdalena v Santa Fe: numbers & prediction

Copa Colombia · Colombia · Estadio Sierra Nevada
1–1
FT
Union Magdalena 25%Draw 25%Santa Fe 50% Expected goals 0.76 – 1.24
50%
Betarazi pick

Santa Fe to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 2.30 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanta Fe to win ✗50% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.96

Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Union Magdalena welcome Santa Fe to Estadio Sierra Nevada for a Copa Colombia fixture on Saturday 26 September (00:00 WAT).

Current form

Union Magdalena, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Patriotas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Santa Fe, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Cali, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended Santa Fe 2–0 Union Magdalena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 0.8 xG, Santa Fe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 25%, draw 25%, Santa Fe 50%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Santa Fe to win (50%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.99, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 0–1 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union Magdalena25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.88
Santa Fe50%fair 1.99 · @2.30
2.00Expected goals
0.76Union Magdalena xG
1.24Santa Fe xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%

From our goals model: Union Magdalena 0.8 – 1.2 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Fe to win ✗50%1.992.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.73
Draw no betSanta Fe (draw no bet)67%1.50–
Asian handicapUnion Magdalena +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreSanta Fe to score first ✗54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe ✗28%3.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.96–

Recent results

Union Magdalena – last 6

WLLWLL
19 Sep@ Patriotas2–1W
13 Sep@ Real Cundinamarca1–2L
5 Sepvs Barranquilla1–2L
1 Sep@ Envigado1–0W
29 Augvs Quindio0–2L
24 Aug@ Tigres FC0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Santa Fe – last 6

LWLWDD
23 Sepvs Deportivo Cali0–1L
19 Sep@ Alianza Valledupar4–1W
15 Sep@ Vasco DA Gama0–2L
12 Sepvs Deportes Tolima1–0W
8 Sepvs Vasco DA Gama0–0D
6 Sepvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Aug 2026Santa Fe v Union Magdalena2–0
Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe?

Our pick is Santa Fe to win with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.

Who will win Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe?

On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santa Fe 50%.

How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 0–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe?

Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.