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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Budaiya v Al Najma: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Bahrain

Budaiya

LLWLL
0–3
FT
Budaiya 40%Draw 25%Al Najma 35% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.29
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultBudaiya to win ✗40% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28

Budaiya vs Al Najma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Monday 25 May: Budaiya v Al Najma in the Premier League.

Current form

Budaiya, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Manama, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Al Najma, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Ittihad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Al Najma, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Budaiya.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended Al Najma 1–2 Budaiya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Budaiya 1.5 xG, Al Najma 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Budaiya 40%, draw 25%, Al Najma 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Budaiya 1–1 Al Najma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Budaiya40%fair 2.50 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.25
Al Najma35%fair 2.84 · @2.40
2.78Expected goals
1.49Budaiya xG
1.29Al Najma xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Budaiya 1.5 – 1.3 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBudaiya to win ✗40%2.502.65 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.70
Draw no betBudaiya (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapAl Najma +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreBudaiya to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Budaiya / FT Budaiya ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.28–

Recent results

Budaiya – last 6

LLWLLL
21 Mayvs Manama0–1L
29 Apr@ Muharraq0–1L
16 Apr@ Al Najma2–1W
3 Aprvs Al-Hidd0–2L
12 Mar@ Sitra0–3L
19 Febvs Al Riffa0–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Al Najma – last 6

WLLLDW
21 Mayvs Al Ittihad2–1W
4 Mayvs Muharraq1–3L
28 Apr@ Malkiya0–3L
16 Aprvs Budaiya1–2L
2 Apr@ Al Shabab1–1D
13 Marvs Al-Hidd1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Apr 2026Al Najma v Budaiya1–2
Budaiya vs Al Najma head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Riffa7430+1115
2Khalidiya7430+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7421+514
4Muharraq7322+411
5Al Ahli723209
6East Riffa7223-58
7Sitra7223-28
8Al Najma7223-48
9A'Ali7223-38
10Al-Hidd714207
11Manama7133-56
12Malkiya7025-112

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Budaiya vs Al Najma?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Budaiya vs Al Najma?

On our numbers Budaiya have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Najma 35%.

How many goals will there be in Budaiya vs Al Najma?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Budaiya vs Al Najma?

Our predicted score is Budaiya 1–1 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Budaiya vs Al Najma?

Budaiya vs Al Najma (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.