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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Estrella v River Plate: numbers & prediction

Sun 24 May 2026
Estrella 38%Draw 20%River Plate 42% Expected goals 2.25 – 2.62
82%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: River Plate to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultRiver Plate to win42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · fair 1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–26% · fair 16.86

Estrella vs River Plate: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 24 May the Division Di Honor brings Estrella against River Plate. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Estrella are 9th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 9 matches; River Plate are 8th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Estrella, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Brazil Juniors, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.4 a game lately.

River Plate, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Unistars, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Estrella 2.2 xG, River Plate 2.6 xG – a total near 4.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 82% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Estrella 38%, draw 20%, River Plate 42%.
  • Price worth noting: River Plate to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrella 2–2 River Plate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Estrella38%fair 2.61 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.70
River Plate42%fair 2.40 · @2.70
4.87Expected goals
2.25Estrella xG
2.62River Plate xG
65%Both score
82%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
1–26%
2–36%
1–35%
2–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Estrella 2.2 – 2.6 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiver Plate to win42%2.402.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score65%1.53–
Draw no betRiver Plate (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapEstrella +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals95%1.05–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals82%1.231.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals72%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals54%1.86–
First team to scoreRiver Plate to score first53%1.87–
Half-time resultRiver Plate ahead at half-time39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT River Plate / FT River Plate30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–26%16.86–

Recent results

Estrella – last 5

DWWLL
13 May@ Brazil Juniors2–2D
27 Apr@ Jong Aruba4–2W
2 Aprvs Brazil Juniors2–1W
1 Marvs Britannia2–5L
23 Febvs Dakota2–11L
2.4Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

River Plate – last 6

WLDWLD
10 May@ Unistars5–0W
7 May@ Caiquetio0–3L
26 Apr@ Brazil Juniors2–2D
15 Aprvs Jong Aruba3–2W
28 Febvs Sporting1–7L
22 Feb@ Bubali3–3D
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Estrella and River Plate.

Estrella vs River Plate head-to-head page →

Division Di Honor table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dakota9900+3427
2Britannia9612+619
3La Fama9603+1818
4Sporting9513+2316
5RCA9504+815
6Bubali9414+813
7Nacional9405+512
8River Plate9225-128
9Estrella9117-184
10Real Koyari9009-720

More Division Di Honor predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estrella vs River Plate?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Estrella vs River Plate?

On our numbers Estrella have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and River Plate 42%.

How many goals will there be in Estrella vs River Plate?

We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estrella vs River Plate?

Our predicted score is Estrella 2–2 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.

When is Estrella vs River Plate?

Estrella vs River Plate (Division Di Honor) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.