Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✗38% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.49
Miramar vs Fenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 25 May the Segunda División brings Miramar against Fenix at Parque Palermo. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Miramar are 12th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 25 matches; Fenix are 11th (lower half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Miramar, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rentistas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Fenix, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tacuarembo, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Fenix, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Miramar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Miramar 1.2 xG, Fenix 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Miramar 34%, draw 28%, Fenix 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miramar 1–1 Fenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Miramar34%fair 2.90 · @2.85
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.10
Fenix38%fair 2.64 · @2.35
2.27Expected goals
1.15Miramar xG
1.11Fenix xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Miramar 1.2 – 1.1 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Miramar
Fenix
Attack vs Segunda División average
-13%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.20
1.01
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenix to win✗
38%
2.64
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Fenix (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Fenix +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Miramar to score first✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miramar / FT Miramar✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.49
–
Recent results
Miramar – last 6
LDDLWL
17 May
@ Rentistas
0–1
L
10 May
vs CA River Plate
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Rentistas
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Oriental
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs CA River Plate
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Paysandu
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fenix – last 5
LWWWD
17 May
vs Tacuarembo
1–2
L
3 May
vs Oriental
1–0
W
27 Apr
@ Atenas
4–1
W
5 Apr
vs Tacuarembo
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Uruguay Montevideo
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miramar and Fenix.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Miramar vs Fenix?
On our numbers Miramar have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Fenix 38%.
How many goals will there be in Miramar vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miramar vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Miramar 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Miramar vs Fenix?
Miramar vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
