Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTepatitlán to win ✓50% · @1.77
Double chanceTepatitlán or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tepatitlán welcome CDS Tampico Madero for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Sunday 24 May (02:00 WAT). In the table, Tepatitlán are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 15 matches; CDS Tampico Madero are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15.
Current form
Tepatitlán, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CDS Tampico Madero, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
CDS Tampico Madero, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tepatitlán, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CDS Tampico Madero, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Tepatitlán.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Tepatitlán 1–0 CDS Tampico Madero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tepatitlán 1.3 xG, CDS Tampico Madero 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tepatitlán 50%, draw 27%, CDS Tampico Madero 23%.
Lower-risk option: Tepatitlán or draw (77%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tepatitlán 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tepatitlán50%fair 2.01 · @1.77
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.30
CDS Tampico Madero23%fair 4.28 · @5.00
2.41Expected goals
1.35Tepatitlán xG
1.06CDS Tampico Madero xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.3 – 1.1 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tepatitlán
CDS Tampico Madero
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-30%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+47%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.25
1.38
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CDS Tampico Madero 23%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
