Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultAngola to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceAngola or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗28% · fair 3.62
Angola vs Malawi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 6 October the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Angola against Malawi. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Angola are 1st on 14 points after 6 matches; Malawi are 3rd with 4.
Current form
Angola, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Egypt, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Malawi, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over South Sudan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Angola 1.2 xG, Malawi 0.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Angola 67%, draw 21%, Malawi 13%.
GG/NG: NG (62%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Angola to win (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Angola 1–0 Malawi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Angola67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.80
Malawi13%fair 7.97 · @9.50
1.50Expected goals
1.24Angola xG
0.26Malawi xG
38%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–028%
0–022%
2–017%
1–17%
3–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Angola 1.2 – 0.3 Malawi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Angola to win✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Double chance
Angola or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.40
Draw no bet
Angola (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Angola -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Angola to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Angola / FT Angola✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
28%
3.62
–
Recent results
Angola – last 3
DWD
25 Sep
@ Egypt
0–0
D
9 Jun
vs Central African Republic
3–0
W
5 Jun
vs Mauritania
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Malawi – last 3
WDL
25 Sep
vs South Sudan
2–1
W
9 Jun
@ Ethiopia
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Ethiopia
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Angola and Malawi.
Our pick is Angola to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Angola vs Malawi?
On our numbers Angola have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malawi 13%.
How many goals will there be in Angola vs Malawi?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Angola vs Malawi?
Our predicted score is Angola 1–0 Malawi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Angola vs Malawi?
Angola vs Malawi (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
