Eritrea vs South Africa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Eritrea v South Africa in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, played at Al Salam Stadium.
Current form
Eritrea, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kenya, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
South Africa, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Guinea, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Eritrea, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for South Africa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eritrea 0.5 xG, South Africa 2.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eritrea 11%, draw 17%, South Africa 72%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was South Africa to win (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eritrea 0–1 South Africa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eritrea11%fair 9.27 · @8.50
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @5.00
South Africa72%fair 1.38 · @1.25
2.50Expected goals
0.55Eritrea xG
1.95South Africa xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–216%
0–310%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Eritrea 0.5 – 2.0 South Africa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Africa to win✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Double chance
South Africa or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
South Africa (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
South Africa -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
South Africa to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
South Africa ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Africa / FT South Africa✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Eritrea – last 3
DWW
26 Sep
@ Kenya
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Eswatini
2–1
W
25 Mar
vs Eswatini
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
South Africa – last 6
WLWDLD
26 Sep
vs Guinea
2–1
W
28 Jun
vs Canada
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Czechia
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Mexico
0–2
L
29 May
vs Nicaragua
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eritrea and South Africa.
What is the prediction for Eritrea vs South Africa?
Our pick is South Africa to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Eritrea vs South Africa?
On our numbers Eritrea have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 17% and South Africa 72%.
How many goals will there be in Eritrea vs South Africa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eritrea vs South Africa?
Our predicted score is Eritrea 0–1 South Africa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Eritrea vs South Africa?
Eritrea vs South Africa (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Salam Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
