Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.52
Burundi vs Zambia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 November: Burundi v Zambia in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification. In the table, Burundi are 4th on 4 points after 6 matches; Zambia are 1st with 13.
Current form
Burundi, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Algeria, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Zambia, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Togo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Burundi, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Zambia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burundi 1.9 xG, Zambia 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burundi 56%, draw 11%, Zambia 33%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 1.5 goals (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burundi 1–1 Zambia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burundi56%fair 1.79
Draw11%fair 9.09
Zambia33%fair 3.03
3.17Expected goals
1.86Burundi xG
1.31Zambia xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Burundi 1.9 – 1.3 Zambia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burundi to win
56%
1.79
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Burundi (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Zambia +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Burundi to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Burundi ahead at half-time
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burundi / FT Burundi
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Burundi – last 4
DLWW
29 Sep
vs Algeria
2–2
D
25 Sep
@ Togo
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Chad
4–0
W
27 Mar
@ Chad
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Zambia – last 3
WLL
29 Sep
vs Togo
2–0
W
25 Sep
@ Algeria
1–3
L
1 Apr
@ Argentina
0–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burundi and Zambia.
On our numbers Burundi have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Zambia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Burundi vs Zambia?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burundi vs Zambia?
Our predicted score is Burundi 1–1 Zambia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Burundi vs Zambia?
Burundi vs Zambia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
