Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–09% · fair 10.73
Eritrea vs Guinea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 16 November the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Eritrea against Guinea at Al Salam Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Eritrea, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to South Africa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Guinea, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kenya, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Eritrea, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Guinea.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eritrea 1.3 xG, Guinea 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eritrea 45%, draw 11%, Guinea 44%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (75%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eritrea 1–1 Guinea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eritrea45%fair 2.22
Draw11%fair 9.09
Guinea44%fair 2.27
2.67Expected goals
1.35Eritrea xG
1.32Guinea xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Eritrea 1.3 – 1.3 Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eritrea to win
45%
2.22
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Eritrea (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Guinea +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Eritrea to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eritrea / FT Eritrea
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Eritrea – last 4
LDWW
30 Sep
vs South Africa
0–5
L
26 Sep
@ Kenya
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Eswatini
2–1
W
25 Mar
vs Eswatini
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guinea – last 5
WLLLD
1 Oct
vs Kenya
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ South Africa
1–2
L
4 Jun
@ Northern Ireland
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Benin
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Togo
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eritrea and Guinea.
On our numbers Eritrea have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Guinea 44%.
How many goals will there be in Eritrea vs Guinea?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eritrea vs Guinea?
Our predicted score is Eritrea 1–1 Guinea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Eritrea vs Guinea?
Eritrea vs Guinea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Salam Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
