Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.86
Ethiopia vs Mozambique: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 November: Ethiopia v Mozambique in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification. In the table, Ethiopia are 4th on 4 points after 6 matches; Mozambique are 2nd with 11.
Current form
Ethiopia, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Senegal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mozambique, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sudan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopia 1.1 xG, Mozambique 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopia 46%, draw 11%, Mozambique 43%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (83%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopia 1–1 Mozambique. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ethiopia46%fair 2.17
Draw11%fair 9.09
Mozambique43%fair 2.33
2.17Expected goals
1.11Ethiopia xG
1.06Mozambique xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ethiopia 1.1 – 1.1 Mozambique expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia to win
46%
2.17
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Ethiopia (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Mozambique +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Ethiopia to score first
46%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethiopia / FT Ethiopia
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.86
–
Recent results
Ethiopia – last 6
LLDWWW
29 Sep
vs Senegal
0–1
L
25 Sep
@ Sudan
0–1
L
9 Jun
vs Malawi
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Malawi
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Sao Tome and Principe
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Sao Tome and Principe
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mozambique – last 3
WDL
29 Sep
vs Sudan
4–1
W
25 Sep
vs Senegal
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Indonesia
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethiopia and Mozambique.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia vs Mozambique?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance.
Who will win Ethiopia vs Mozambique?
On our numbers Ethiopia have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mozambique 43%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia vs Mozambique?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia vs Mozambique?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia 1–1 Mozambique, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia vs Mozambique?
Ethiopia vs Mozambique (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
