Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.49
Guinea-Bissau vs Madagascar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 November: Guinea-Bissau v Madagascar in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification. In the table, Guinea-Bissau are 3rd on 5 points after 6 matches; Madagascar are 4th with 2. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guinea-Bissau, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Nigeria, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Madagascar, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tanzania, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Guinea-Bissau, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Madagascar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guinea-Bissau 1.6 xG, Madagascar 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guinea-Bissau 62%, draw 11%, Madagascar 27%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guinea-Bissau 1–0 Madagascar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guinea-Bissau62%fair 1.61
Draw11%fair 9.09
Madagascar27%fair 3.70
2.50Expected goals
1.63Guinea-Bissau xG
0.87Madagascar xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Guinea-Bissau 1.6 – 0.9 Madagascar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guinea-Bissau to win
62%
1.61
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Guinea-Bissau (draw no bet)
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Madagascar +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Guinea-Bissau to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guinea-Bissau / FT Guinea-Bissau
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.49
–
Recent results
Guinea-Bissau – last 3
WWD
29 Sep
vs Nigeria
3–0
W
25 Sep
@ Tanzania
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Burkina Faso
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Madagascar – last 4
DLLD
29 Sep
vs Tanzania
1–1
D
25 Sep
@ Nigeria
1–2
L
2 Jun
@ Morocco
0–4
L
31 Mar
@ Equatorial Guinea
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guinea-Bissau and Madagascar.
What is the prediction for Guinea-Bissau vs Madagascar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance.
Who will win Guinea-Bissau vs Madagascar?
On our numbers Guinea-Bissau have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Madagascar 27%.
How many goals will there be in Guinea-Bissau vs Madagascar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guinea-Bissau vs Madagascar?
Our predicted score is Guinea-Bissau 1–0 Madagascar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guinea-Bissau vs Madagascar?
Guinea-Bissau vs Madagascar (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
