Kenya 24%Draw 11%South Africa 65%Expected goals 0.91 – 1.84
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32
8/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouth Africa to win65% · fair 1.54
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–37% · fair 15.08
Kenya vs South Africa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
South Africa travel to face Kenya on Tuesday 17 November in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, with Nyayo National Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Kenya are 3rd on 6 points after 6 matches; South Africa are 1st with 14.
Current form
Kenya, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guinea, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
South Africa, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Egypt, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours South Africa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.6 for Kenya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kenya 0.9 xG, South Africa 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kenya 24%, draw 11%, South Africa 65%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kenya 0–2 South Africa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kenya24%fair 4.17
Draw11%fair 9.09
South Africa65%fair 1.54
2.75Expected goals
0.91Kenya xG
1.84South Africa xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Kenya 0.9 – 1.8 South Africa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Africa to win
65%
1.54
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
South Africa (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Kenya +1.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
South Africa to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
South Africa ahead at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Africa / FT South Africa
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3
7%
15.08
–
Recent results
Kenya – last 5
LDWDW
1 Oct
@ Guinea
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Eritrea
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Lesotho
4–0
W
4 Jun
@ Lesotho
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Grenada
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
South Africa – last 6
WWWLWD
4 Oct
@ Egypt
1–0
W
30 Sep
@ Eritrea
5–0
W
26 Sep
vs Guinea
2–1
W
28 Jun
vs Canada
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Czechia
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kenya and South Africa.
On our numbers Kenya have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 11% and South Africa 65%.
How many goals will there be in Kenya vs South Africa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kenya vs South Africa?
Our predicted score is Kenya 0–2 South Africa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kenya vs South Africa?
Kenya vs South Africa (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
