Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.69
Lesotho vs Gabon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lesotho welcome Gabon to Peter Mokaba Stadium for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Tuesday 17 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, Lesotho are 3rd on 4 points after 6 matches; Gabon are 2nd with 10.
Current form
Lesotho, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Morocco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Gabon, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Niger, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lesotho 0.9 xG, Gabon 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lesotho 39%, draw 11%, Gabon 50%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (86%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lesotho 0–1 Gabon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lesotho39%fair 2.56
Draw11%fair 9.09
Gabon50%fair 2.00
2.00Expected goals
0.89Lesotho xG
1.11Gabon xG
44%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lesotho 0.9 – 1.1 Gabon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gabon to win
50%
2.00
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Gabon (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Lesotho +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Gabon to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gabon / FT Gabon
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
15%
6.69
–
Recent results
Lesotho – last 6
LLLDWD
29 Sep
vs Morocco
0–2
L
25 Sep
@ Niger
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Kenya
0–4
L
4 Jun
vs Kenya
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Seychelles
2–1
W
26 Mar
@ Seychelles
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gabon – last 3
WLL
29 Sep
vs Niger
2–0
W
25 Sep
@ Morocco
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Uzbekistan
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lesotho and Gabon.
On our numbers Lesotho have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Gabon 50%.
How many goals will there be in Lesotho vs Gabon?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lesotho vs Gabon?
Our predicted score is Lesotho 0–1 Gabon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lesotho vs Gabon?
Lesotho vs Gabon (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Peter Mokaba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
