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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Libya v Tunisia: numbers & prediction

Libya

LDDD
Tue 17 Nov 2026

Tunisia

DDLLL
Libya 27%Draw 11%Tunisia 62% Expected goals 0.98 – 1.77
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32

8/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultTunisia to win62% · fair 1.61
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–36% · fair 16.99

Libya vs Tunisia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Libya welcome Tunisia for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Tuesday 17 November (17:00 WAT). In the table, Libya are 4th on 5 points after 6 matches; Tunisia are 2nd with 10.

Current form

Libya, last 4: LDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Uganda, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Tunisia, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Botswana, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Libya 1.0 xG, Tunisia 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Libya 27%, draw 11%, Tunisia 62%.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Over 1.5 goals (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libya 1–1 Tunisia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Libya27%fair 3.70
Draw11%fair 9.09
Tunisia62%fair 1.61
2.75Expected goals
0.98Libya xG
1.77Tunisia xG
47%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%

From our goals model: Libya 1.0 – 1.8 Tunisia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTunisia to win62%1.61–
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.88–
Draw no betTunisia (draw no bet)70%1.44–
Asian handicapLibya +1.5 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.17–
First team to scoreTunisia to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tunisia / FT Tunisia35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–36%16.99–

Recent results

Libya – last 4

LDDD
29 Sep@ Uganda0–1L
24 Sepvs Botswana2–2D
31 Mar@ Liberia2–2D
27 Marvs Niger0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tunisia – last 6

DDLLLL
28 Sep@ Botswana2–2D
24 Sepvs Uganda1–1D
26 Junvs Netherlands1–3L
21 Junvs Japan0–4L
15 Jun@ Sweden1–5L
6 Jun@ Belgium0–5L
0.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Libya and Tunisia.

Libya vs Tunisia head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Comoros6330+312
2Tunisia6312+110
3Gambia622208
4Madagascar6024-42

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libya vs Tunisia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance.

Who will win Libya vs Tunisia?

On our numbers Libya have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Tunisia 62%.

How many goals will there be in Libya vs Tunisia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libya vs Tunisia?

Our predicted score is Libya 1–1 Tunisia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Libya vs Tunisia?

Libya vs Tunisia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.