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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Malawi v Egypt: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Bingu National Stadium

Malawi

LWDL
Tue 17 Nov 2026

Egypt

LWDLD
Malawi 28%Draw 11%Egypt 61% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.88
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25

9/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultEgypt to win61% · fair 1.64
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.14

Malawi vs Egypt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 November: Malawi v Egypt in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, played at Bingu National Stadium. In the table, Malawi are 3rd on 4 points after 6 matches; Egypt are 1st with 14.

Current form

Malawi, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Angola, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Egypt, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to South Africa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Malawi 1.1 xG, Egypt 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Malawi 28%, draw 11%, Egypt 61%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (80%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malawi 1–1 Egypt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Malawi28%fair 3.57
Draw11%fair 9.09
Egypt61%fair 1.64
3.00Expected goals
1.12Malawi xG
1.88Egypt xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Malawi 1.1 – 1.9 Egypt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEgypt to win61%1.64–
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.94–
Draw no betEgypt (draw no bet)69%1.46–
Asian handicapMalawi +1.5 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals82%1.23–
First team to scoreEgypt to score first60%1.68–
Half-time resultEgypt ahead at half-time41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Egypt / FT Egypt35%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.14–

Recent results

Malawi – last 4

LWDL
6 Oct@ Angola1–3L
25 Sepvs South Sudan2–1W
9 Jun@ Ethiopia1–1D
6 Jun@ Ethiopia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Egypt – last 6

LWDLDD
4 Octvs South Africa0–1L
29 Sep@ South Sudan5–0W
25 Sepvs Angola0–0D
7 Jul@ Argentina2–3L
3 Jul@ Australia1–1D
27 Junvs Iran1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Malawi and Egypt.

Malawi vs Egypt head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt6420+1014
2Botswana6222-38
3Mauritania6213-37
4Cape Verde Islands6114-44

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malawi vs Egypt?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance.

Who will win Malawi vs Egypt?

On our numbers Malawi have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Egypt 61%.

How many goals will there be in Malawi vs Egypt?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Malawi vs Egypt?

Our predicted score is Malawi 1–1 Egypt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Malawi vs Egypt?

Malawi vs Egypt (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Bingu National Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.