Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 8.78
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 November the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Mauritania against Burkina Faso at Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Mauritania are 3rd on 7 points after 6 matches; Burkina Faso are 2nd with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mauritania, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Benin, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Burkina Faso, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Argentina, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mauritania 1.1 xG, Burkina Faso 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mauritania 38%, draw 11%, Burkina Faso 51%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mauritania 1–1 Burkina Faso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mauritania38%fair 2.63
Draw11%fair 9.09
Burkina Faso51%fair 1.96
2.50Expected goals
1.11Mauritania xG
1.39Burkina Faso xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Mauritania 1.1 – 1.4 Burkina Faso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burkina Faso to win
51%
1.96
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Burkina Faso (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Mauritania +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Burkina Faso to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burkina Faso / FT Burkina Faso
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
11%
8.78
–
Recent results
Mauritania – last 5
LWWDL
29 Sep
@ Benin
1–2
L
24 Sep
vs Central African Republic
3–1
W
8 Jun
@ Niger
1–0
W
5 Jun
@ Angola
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Argentina
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Burkina Faso – last 6
LWDDLD
4 Oct
@ Argentina
0–7
L
28 Sep
@ Central African Republic
1–0
W
25 Sep
vs Benin
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Belarus
2–2
D
5 Jun
@ Russia
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Guinea-Bissau
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mauritania and Burkina Faso.
What is the prediction for Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance.
Who will win Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
On our numbers Mauritania have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Burkina Faso 51%.
How many goals will there be in Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
Our predicted score is Mauritania 1–1 Burkina Faso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mauritania vs Burkina Faso?
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
