Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.53
Rwanda vs Mali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 November: Rwanda v Mali in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, played at Stade Amahoro. In the table, Rwanda are 3rd on 8 points after 6 matches; Mali are 1st with 14.
Current form
Rwanda, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cape Verde Islands, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Mali, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Liberia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rwanda, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Mali.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rwanda 1.3 xG, Mali 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rwanda 34%, draw 11%, Mali 55%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 1.5 goals (80%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rwanda 1–1 Mali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rwanda34%fair 2.94
Draw11%fair 9.09
Mali55%fair 1.82
3.00Expected goals
1.26Rwanda xG
1.74Mali xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Rwanda 1.3 – 1.7 Mali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mali to win
55%
1.82
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Mali (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Rwanda +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Mali to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mali / FT Mali
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Rwanda – last 4
WWWW
29 Sep
@ Cape Verde Islands
2–1
W
25 Sep
vs Liberia
3–1
W
30 Mar
vs Estonia
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Grenada
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Mali – last 3
WWD
29 Sep
@ Liberia
1–0
W
25 Sep
vs Cape Verde Islands
3–1
W
31 Mar
@ Russia
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rwanda and Mali.
On our numbers Rwanda have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mali 55%.
How many goals will there be in Rwanda vs Mali?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rwanda vs Mali?
Our predicted score is Rwanda 1–1 Mali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rwanda vs Mali?
Rwanda vs Mali (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Amahoro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
