Sierra Leone 21%Draw 11%Congo DR 68%Expected goals 0.84 – 1.91
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32
8/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultCongo DR to win68% · fair 1.47
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–37% · fair 13.38
Sierra Leone vs Congo DR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 November the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Sierra Leone against Congo DR. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Sierra Leone are 3rd on 5 points after 6 matches; Congo DR are 1st with 12.
Current form
Sierra Leone, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Equatorial Guinea, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Congo DR, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Uganda, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Congo DR, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sierra Leone.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sierra Leone 0.8 xG, Congo DR 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sierra Leone 21%, draw 11%, Congo DR 68%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sierra Leone 0–2 Congo DR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sierra Leone21%fair 4.76
Draw11%fair 9.09
Congo DR68%fair 1.47
2.75Expected goals
0.84Sierra Leone xG
1.91Congo DR xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sierra Leone 0.8 – 1.9 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Congo DR to win
68%
1.47
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Congo DR (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Congo DR -0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Congo DR to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Congo DR ahead at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Congo DR / FT Congo DR
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3
7%
13.38
–
Recent results
Sierra Leone – last 4
LLLW
28 Sep
@ Equatorial Guinea
0–1
L
24 Sep
vs Zimbabwe
2–3
L
9 Jun
@ Liberia
1–3
L
6 Jun
vs Liberia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Congo DR – last 6
DLWWLW
5 Oct
@ Uganda
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Uganda
0–2
L
28 Sep
@ Zimbabwe
2–1
W
24 Sep
vs Equatorial Guinea
2–0
W
1 Jul
@ England
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sierra Leone and Congo DR.
What is the prediction for Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance.
Who will win Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?
On our numbers Sierra Leone have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Congo DR 68%.
How many goals will there be in Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?
Our predicted score is Sierra Leone 0–2 Congo DR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sierra Leone vs Congo DR?
Sierra Leone vs Congo DR (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
