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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Somalia v Ghana: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Accra Sports Stadium
Mon 16 Nov 2026

Ghana

LLLLD
Somalia 48%Draw 11%Ghana 41% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.09
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26

9/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultSomalia to win48% · fair 2.08
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.31

Somalia vs Ghana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Somalia welcome Ghana to Accra Sports Stadium for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Monday 16 November (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Somalia, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ivory Coast, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Ghana, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Gambia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Somalia 1.2 xG, Ghana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Somalia 48%, draw 11%, Ghana 41%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (79%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Somalia 1–1 Ghana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Somalia48%fair 2.08
Draw11%fair 9.09
Ghana41%fair 2.44
2.33Expected goals
1.24Somalia xG
1.09Ghana xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Somalia 1.2 – 1.1 Ghana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSomalia to win48%2.08–
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.89–
Draw no betSomalia (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapGhana +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.10–
First team to scoreSomalia to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Somalia / FT Somalia23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012%8.31–

Recent results

Somalia – last 4

LLDD
29 Sepvs Ivory Coast0–2L
25 Sep@ Gambia1–2L
31 Mar@ Mauritius0–0D
27 Marvs Mauritius0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Ghana – last 6

LLLLDW
29 Sepvs Gambia2–4L
24 Sep@ Ivory Coast0–2L
4 Jul@ Colombia0–1L
27 Jun@ Croatia1–2L
23 Jun@ England0–0D
18 Junvs Panama1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Somalia and Ghana.

Somalia vs Ghana head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Angola6420+514
2Sudan6222-28
3Niger6213+17
4Ghana6033-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Somalia vs Ghana?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance.

Who will win Somalia vs Ghana?

On our numbers Somalia have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Ghana 41%.

How many goals will there be in Somalia vs Ghana?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Somalia vs Ghana?

Our predicted score is Somalia 1–1 Ghana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Somalia vs Ghana?

Somalia vs Ghana (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Accra Sports Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.