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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tanzania v Nigeria: numbers & prediction

Tue 17 Nov 2026

Nigeria

DLWLD
Tanzania 30%Draw 11%Nigeria 59% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.56
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32

8/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultNigeria to win59% · fair 1.69
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.81

Tanzania vs Nigeria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nigeria travel to face Tanzania on Tuesday 17 November in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Tanzania are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Nigeria are 1st with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tanzania, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Madagascar, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Nigeria, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Russia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tanzania 0.9 xG, Nigeria 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tanzania 30%, draw 11%, Nigeria 59%.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Under 3.5 goals (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tanzania 0–1 Nigeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tanzania30%fair 3.33
Draw11%fair 9.09
Nigeria59%fair 1.69
2.50Expected goals
0.94Tanzania xG
1.56Nigeria xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%

From our goals model: Tanzania 0.9 – 1.6 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNigeria to win59%1.69–
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.93–
Draw no betNigeria (draw no bet)66%1.51–
Asian handicapTanzania +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.12–
First team to scoreNigeria to score first57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nigeria / FT Nigeria31%3.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113%7.81–

Recent results

Tanzania – last 4

DLWL
29 Sep@ Madagascar1–1D
25 Sepvs Guinea-Bissau0–2L
29 Mar@ Mação6–0W
26 Marvs Liechtenstein0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Nigeria – last 6

DLWLDW
6 Oct@ Russia3–3D
29 Sep@ Guinea-Bissau0–3L
25 Sepvs Madagascar2–1W
10 Jun@ Portugal1–2L
3 Jun@ Poland2–2D
26 Mayvs Zimbabwe2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tanzania and Nigeria.

Tanzania vs Nigeria head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nigeria6321+611
2Benin622208
3Rwanda6222-28
4Libya6123-45

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tanzania vs Nigeria?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance.

Who will win Tanzania vs Nigeria?

On our numbers Tanzania have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Nigeria 59%.

How many goals will there be in Tanzania vs Nigeria?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tanzania vs Nigeria?

Our predicted score is Tanzania 0–1 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Tanzania vs Nigeria?

Tanzania vs Nigeria (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.