Tanzania 30%Draw 11%Nigeria 59%Expected goals 0.94 – 1.56
76%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32
8/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultNigeria to win59% · fair 1.69
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.81
Tanzania vs Nigeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nigeria travel to face Tanzania on Tuesday 17 November in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Tanzania are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Nigeria are 1st with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tanzania, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Madagascar, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Nigeria, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Russia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tanzania 0.9 xG, Nigeria 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tanzania 30%, draw 11%, Nigeria 59%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tanzania 0–1 Nigeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tanzania30%fair 3.33
Draw11%fair 9.09
Nigeria59%fair 1.69
2.50Expected goals
0.94Tanzania xG
1.56Nigeria xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Tanzania 0.9 – 1.6 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nigeria to win
59%
1.69
–
Double chance
Either team to win
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Nigeria (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Tanzania +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Nigeria to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nigeria / FT Nigeria
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
13%
7.81
–
Recent results
Tanzania – last 4
DLWL
29 Sep
@ Madagascar
1–1
D
25 Sep
vs Guinea-Bissau
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Mação
6–0
W
26 Mar
vs Liechtenstein
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Nigeria – last 6
DLWLDW
6 Oct
@ Russia
3–3
D
29 Sep
@ Guinea-Bissau
0–3
L
25 Sep
vs Madagascar
2–1
W
10 Jun
@ Portugal
1–2
L
3 Jun
@ Poland
2–2
D
26 May
vs Zimbabwe
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tanzania and Nigeria.
On our numbers Tanzania have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Nigeria 59%.
How many goals will there be in Tanzania vs Nigeria?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tanzania vs Nigeria?
Our predicted score is Tanzania 0–1 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tanzania vs Nigeria?
Tanzania vs Nigeria (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.