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Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · National Sports Stadium
Mon 16 Nov 2026
Zimbabwe 48%Draw 11%Equatorial Guinea 41% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.30
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32

8/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultZimbabwe to win48% · fair 2.08
Double chanceEither team to win89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–03% · fair 30.68

Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Monday 16 November: Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, played at National Sports Stadium. In the table, Zimbabwe are 2nd on 9 points after 6 matches; Equatorial Guinea are 2nd with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Zimbabwe, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Congo DR, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Equatorial Guinea, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sierra Leone, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Zimbabwe, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Equatorial Guinea.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zimbabwe 1.5 xG, Equatorial Guinea 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zimbabwe 48%, draw 11%, Equatorial Guinea 41%.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Over 1.5 goals (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zimbabwe 1–1 Equatorial Guinea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zimbabwe48%fair 2.08
Draw11%fair 9.09
Equatorial Guinea41%fair 2.44
2.75Expected goals
1.45Zimbabwe xG
1.30Equatorial Guinea xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Zimbabwe 1.5 – 1.3 Equatorial Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZimbabwe to win48%2.08–
Double chanceEither team to win89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score51%1.95–
Draw no betZimbabwe (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapEquatorial Guinea +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.17–
First team to scoreZimbabwe to score first49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zimbabwe / FT Zimbabwe24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–03%30.68–

Recent results

Zimbabwe – last 4

LWLW
28 Sepvs Congo DR1–2L
24 Sep@ Sierra Leone3–2W
26 May@ Nigeria0–2L
31 Marvs Zambia U231–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Equatorial Guinea – last 4

WLLD
28 Sepvs Sierra Leone1–0W
24 Sep@ Congo DR0–2L
8 Junvs Comoros0–1L
31 Marvs Madagascar1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zimbabwe and Equatorial Guinea.

Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria6510+1416
2Equatorial Guinea6222-38
3Togo6123-35
4Liberia6114-84

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance.

Who will win Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?

On our numbers Zimbabwe have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Equatorial Guinea 41%.

How many goals will there be in Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?

Our predicted score is Zimbabwe 1–1 Equatorial Guinea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?

Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at National Sports Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.