Real Cartagena 49%Draw 28%Envigado 24%Expected goals 1.35 – 1.02
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗49% · @1.85
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✗76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Real Cartagena vs Envigado: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Cartagena welcome Envigado for a Primera B fixture on Tuesday 26 May (02:00 WAT). In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Envigado are 1st (leading the league) with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Cartagena, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Barranquilla, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Envigado, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Quindio, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Envigado 1–1 Real Cartagena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.4 xG, Envigado 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 49%, draw 28%, Envigado 24%.
Lower-risk option: Real Cartagena or draw (76%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–1 Envigado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Cartagena49%fair 2.06 · @1.85
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.10
Envigado24%fair 4.20 · @4.10
2.37Expected goals
1.35Real Cartagena xG
1.02Envigado xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.4 – 1.0 Envigado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Cartagena
Envigado
Attack vs Primera B average
+40%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.20
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Envigado 24%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–1 Envigado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Envigado?
Real Cartagena vs Envigado (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
