Envigado vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Cartagena travel to face Envigado on Friday 29 May in the Primera B, with Estadio Polideportivo Sur the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Envigado are 1st, leading the league, on 7 points after 4 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Envigado, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Real Cartagena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Real Cartagena, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Envigado, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 May 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 2–3 Envigado. The last 2 head-to-heads: Envigado 1 win, Real Cartagena 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Envigado 1.4 xG, Real Cartagena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Envigado 44%, draw 27%, Real Cartagena 30%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Envigado 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Envigado44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
Real Cartagena30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
2.48Expected goals
1.40Envigado xG
1.08Real Cartagena xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Envigado 1.4 – 1.1 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Envigado
Real Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average
+14%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.07
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Envigado have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Cartagena 30%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Envigado 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
Envigado vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
