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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oriental v Tacuarembo: numbers & prediction

2–0
FT
Oriental 41%Draw 28%Tacuarembo 31% Expected goals 1.32 – 0.91
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1

Value bet: Oriental to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOriental to win ✓41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73

Oriental vs Tacuarembo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Oriental welcome Tacuarembo for a Segunda División fixture on Monday 1 June (01:00 WAT). In the table, Oriental are 6th, upper half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Tacuarembo are 13th (in the drop zone) with 26.

Current form

Oriental, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Plaza Colonia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Tacuarembo, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Colón, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oriental 1.3 xG, Tacuarembo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oriental 41%, draw 28%, Tacuarembo 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Oriental to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oriental 1–1 Tacuarembo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oriental41%fair 2.42 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.95
Tacuarembo31%fair 3.21 · @2.55
2.23Expected goals
1.32Oriental xG
0.91Tacuarembo xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Oriental 1.3 – 0.9 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

OrientalTacuarembo
Attack vs Segunda División average+10%-28%
Goals conceded vs average+2%+3%
Our expected goals here1.470.75

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOriental to win ✓41%2.422.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.95 ▲
Draw no betOriental (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapTacuarembo +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.551.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.241.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreOriental to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oriental / FT Oriental ✓27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.73–

Recent results

Oriental – last 6

LDLWWD
22 May@ Plaza Colonia1–3L
18 Mayvs La Luz0–0D
3 May@ Fenix0–1L
20 Apr@ Rentistas2–1W
12 Aprvs Miramar2–1W
23 Marvs Colón0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tacuarembo – last 6

WWLLLD
24 Mayvs Colón2–0W
17 May@ Fenix2–1W
18 Apr@ Atenas0–1L
13 Aprvs Sportivo Huracan0–2L
5 Apr@ Fenix2–3L
17 Marvs La Luz1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Oriental and Tacuarembo.

Oriental vs Tacuarembo head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oriental vs Tacuarembo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Oriental vs Tacuarembo?

On our numbers Oriental have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tacuarembo 31%.

How many goals will there be in Oriental vs Tacuarembo?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oriental vs Tacuarembo?

Our predicted score is Oriental 1–1 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Oriental vs Tacuarembo?

Oriental vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.