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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

União São João v Noroeste: numbers & prediction

Copa Paulista · Brazil
1–1
FT
União São João 43%Draw 22%Noroeste 35% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.02
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnião São João to win ✗43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.70

União São João vs Noroeste: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: União São João v Noroeste in the Copa Paulista.

Current form

União São João, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Comercial, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Noroeste, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over XV de Piracicaba, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours União São João, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Noroeste.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Noroeste 2–2 União São João.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give União São João 1.2 xG, Noroeste 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – União São João 43%, draw 22%, Noroeste 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: União São João 1–1 Noroeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

União São João43%fair 2.30 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Noroeste35%fair 2.88 · @2.70
2.22Expected goals
1.20União São João xG
1.02Noroeste xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: União São João 1.2 – 1.0 Noroeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnião São João to win ✗43%2.302.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.85–
Draw no betUnião São João (draw no bet)56%1.80–
Asian handicapNoroeste +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreUnião São João to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT União São João / FT União São João ✗23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.70–

Recent results

União São João – last 6

DWDDWW
8 Augvs Comercial1–1D
1 Aug@ Comercial1–0W
25 Jul@ Noroeste2–2D
22 Julvs XV de Piracicaba0–0D
11 Marvs Francana2–1W
4 Marvs Portuguesa Santista1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Noroeste – last 6

WDDLLD
9 Augvs XV de Piracicaba2–1W
1 Aug@ XV de Piracicaba1–1D
25 Julvs União São João2–2D
18 Jul@ Comercial0–2L
28 Junvs Portuguesa RJ1–3L
21 Jun@ Portuguesa RJ1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Jul 2026Noroeste v União São João2–2
União São João vs Noroeste head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for União São João vs Noroeste?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win União São João vs Noroeste?

On our numbers União São João have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Noroeste 35%.

How many goals will there be in União São João vs Noroeste?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for União São João vs Noroeste?

Our predicted score is União São João 1–1 Noroeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is União São João vs Noroeste?

União São João vs Noroeste (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.