Al Minaa Basra 40%Draw 28%Al Talaba 33%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.09
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Thursday 28 May: Al Minaa Basra v Al Talaba in the Iraqi League. In the table, Al Minaa Basra are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Al Talaba are 11th (lower half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Minaa Basra, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Zakho, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al Talaba, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al-Karma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Minaa Basra, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Al Talaba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Minaa Basra 1.2 xG, Al Talaba 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Minaa Basra 40%, draw 28%, Al Talaba 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Al Talaba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Minaa Basra40%fair 2.52 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.00
Al Talaba33%fair 3.07 · @3.00
2.31Expected goals
1.23Al Minaa Basra xG
1.09Al Talaba xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.2 – 1.1 Al Talaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Minaa Basra to win✗
40%
2.52
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Al Minaa Basra (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Al Talaba +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Al Minaa Basra to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.23
–
Recent results
Al Minaa Basra – last 6
DWDDWW
24 May
vs Zakho
2–2
D
20 May
vs Mosul
1–0
W
14 May
@ Naft
1–1
D
6 May
@ Al-Qasim
3–3
D
28 Apr
@ Gharraf
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Baghdad
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Talaba – last 6
DLWLDW
19 May
vs Al-Karma
1–1
D
5 May
vs Al Zawra'a
0–1
L
1 May
@ Diyala
1–0
W
27 Apr
vs Erbil
2–3
L
30 Mar
vs Naft
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Minaa Basra and Al Talaba.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Al Talaba 33%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Al Talaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba?
Al Minaa Basra vs Al Talaba (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
