Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win @ 2.60 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultProgrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win ✓46% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.99
ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer travel to face ES Hammam-Sousse on Friday 29 May in the Ligue 2, with Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
ES Hammam-Sousse, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CS Hammam-Lif, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Redeyef, at home. Scoring is no problem – 4.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for ES Hammam-Sousse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ES Hammam-Sousse 0.9 xG, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ES Hammam-Sousse 27%, draw 27%, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 46%.
Price worth noting: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: ES Hammam-Sousse 0–1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ES Hammam-Sousse27%fair 3.66 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.90
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer46%fair 2.18 · @2.60
2.34Expected goals
0.85ES Hammam-Sousse xG
1.49Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: ES Hammam-Sousse 0.9 – 1.5 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win✓
46%
2.18
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
ES Hammam-Sousse +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer / FT Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.99
–
Recent results
ES Hammam-Sousse – last 6
DDLDWW
11 May
@ CS Hammam-Lif
1–1
D
1 May
vs Sfax Railways
2–2
D
27 Apr
@ Kerkennah
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ M'saken
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Menzel Bourguiba
3–0
W
5 Apr
@ Bouselem
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer – last 6
WWWWWW
12 May
vs Redeyef
5–0
W
28 Apr
vs Djelma
4–1
W
22 Apr
vs Korba
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sahline
6–0
W
27 Feb
vs EGS Gafsa
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Bouchamma
4–1
W
4.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Hammam-Sousse and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer.
What is the prediction for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
On our numbers ES Hammam-Sousse have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 46%.
How many goals will there be in ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
Our predicted score is ES Hammam-Sousse 0–1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
