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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Nacional v Junior: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Atanasio Girardot
1–0
FT

Junior

WLWDD
Atletico Nacional 64%Draw 22%Junior 15% Expected goals 2.10 – 0.90
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓64% · @1.51
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Atletico Nacional vs Junior: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 8 June the Primera A brings Atletico Nacional against Junior at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Junior are 14th (lower half) with 19. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atletico Nacional, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Junior, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Junior, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atletico Nacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jun 2026) it ended Junior 3–0 Atletico Nacional. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atletico Nacional 1 win, Junior 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 2.1 xG, Junior 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 64%, draw 22%, Junior 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Nacional64%fair 1.57 · @1.51
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.20
Junior15%fair 6.78 · @5.80
3.01Expected goals
2.10Atletico Nacional xG
0.90Junior xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.1 – 0.9 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Atletico NacionalJunior
Attack vs Primera A average+48%+13%
Goals conceded vs average-19%+7%
Our expected goals here2.320.97

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Nacional to win ✓64%1.571.51
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓85%1.171.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.85
Draw no betAtletico Nacional (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapAtletico Nacional -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.14
First team to scoreAtletico Nacional to score first ✓66%1.50–
Half-time resultAtletico Nacional ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Atletico Nacional – last 6

LWWWLW
3 Jun@ Junior0–3L
24 Mayvs Deportes Tolima3–1W
17 May@ Deportes Tolima1–0W
13 Mayvs Internacional de Bogota7–1W
2 May@ Once Caldas0–1L
21 Aprvs Bucaramanga2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Junior – last 6

WLWDDW
3 Junvs Atletico Nacional3–0W
28 May@ Palmeiras1–4L
21 Mayvs Sporting Cristal3–2W
17 May@ Santa Fe1–1D
14 Mayvs Once Caldas2–2D
11 May@ Once Caldas1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jun 2026Junior v Atletico Nacional3–0
11 Mar 2026Junior v Atletico Nacional0–4
Atletico Nacional vs Junior head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Junior 15%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

Atletico Nacional vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 8 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.