Value bet: Izarra to win @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIzarra to win ✗53% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Izarra vs Pamplona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pamplona travel to face Izarra on Saturday 30 May in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Izarra are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 10 matches; Pamplona are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Izarra, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Subiza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pamplona, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Izarra, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.6 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pamplona, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.3 for Izarra.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Izarra 0–2 Pamplona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Izarra 2.0 xG, Pamplona 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Izarra 53%, draw 23%, Pamplona 24%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Izarra to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Izarra 2–1 Pamplona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Izarra53%fair 1.88 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Pamplona24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
3.01Expected goals
2.03Izarra xG
0.98Pamplona xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Izarra 2.0 – 1.0 Pamplona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Izarra vs Pamplona?
On our numbers Izarra have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pamplona 24%.
How many goals will there be in Izarra vs Pamplona?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Izarra vs Pamplona?
Our predicted score is Izarra 2–1 Pamplona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Izarra vs Pamplona?
Izarra vs Pamplona (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
