Value bet: Izarra to win @ 2.90 – our chance 44% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIzarra to win ✗44% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Pamplona vs Izarra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pamplona welcome Izarra for a Tercera División RFEF Group 15 fixture on Saturday 6 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Pamplona are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Izarra are 1st (leading the league) with 26. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pamplona, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Izarra, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Izarra, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pamplona, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pamplona, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Izarra.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Izarra 1–1 Pamplona. The last 2 head-to-heads: Pamplona 1 win, Izarra 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pamplona 1.1 xG, Izarra 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pamplona 32%, draw 24%, Izarra 44%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Izarra to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pamplona 1–1 Izarra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pamplona32%fair 3.15 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Izarra44%fair 2.28 · @2.90
2.85Expected goals
1.12Pamplona xG
1.73Izarra xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Pamplona 1.1 – 1.7 Izarra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Pamplona vs Izarra?
On our numbers Pamplona have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Izarra 44%.
How many goals will there be in Pamplona vs Izarra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pamplona vs Izarra?
Our predicted score is Pamplona 1–1 Izarra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pamplona vs Izarra?
Pamplona vs Izarra (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
