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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Moralo v Badajoz: numbers & prediction

Moralo

WDDWL
0–2
FT

Badajoz

WLWWW
Moralo 36%Draw 27%Badajoz 36% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.10
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultMoralo to win ✗36% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.28

Moralo vs Badajoz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 31 May: Moralo v Badajoz in the Tercera División RFEF Group 14.

Current form

Moralo, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Azuaga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Badajoz, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jaraíz, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Badajoz, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Moralo.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Badajoz 0–1 Moralo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Moralo 1.2 xG, Badajoz 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Moralo 36%, draw 27%, Badajoz 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moralo 1–1 Badajoz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Moralo36%fair 2.74 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.30
Badajoz36%fair 2.76 · @2.35
2.28Expected goals
1.19Moralo xG
1.10Badajoz xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Moralo 1.2 – 1.1 Badajoz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMoralo to win ✗36%2.742.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betMoralo (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapBadajoz +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreMoralo to score first ✗47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Moralo / FT Moralo ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.28–

Recent results

Moralo – last 6

WDDWLW
17 May@ Azuaga1–0W
26 Aprvs Azuaga1–1D
12 Aprvs Calamonte1–1D
2 Apr@ Puebla Calzada2–0W
29 Marvs Jaraíz0–1L
22 Mar@ Montehermoso2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Badajoz – last 6

WLWWWW
24 Mayvs Jaraíz2–0W
17 May@ Jaraíz0–1L
3 May@ Calamonte3–0W
5 Apr@ Villanovense2–1W
29 Marvs Cabeza Buey2–1W
22 Mar@ Llerenense3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Badajoz v Moralo0–1
Moralo vs Badajoz head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 14 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Azuaga10721+1223
2Llerenense10640+822
3Moralo10631+621
4Castuera10622+1220
5Villanovense10532+918
6Puebla Calzada10523+517
7CD Zafra10343+413
8Cabeza Buey10343+113
9Quintana10343+113
10Villafranca10415013
11Jaraíz10334+212
12Santa Amalia10262+212
13Gévora10334-212
14Jerez10334-412
15Plasencia10154-78
16Montijo10226-88
17Atlético Pueblonuevo10046-154
18Guadiana10019-261

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moralo vs Badajoz?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Moralo vs Badajoz?

On our numbers Moralo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Badajoz 36%.

How many goals will there be in Moralo vs Badajoz?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Moralo vs Badajoz?

Our predicted score is Moralo 1–1 Badajoz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Moralo vs Badajoz?

Moralo vs Badajoz (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.