Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultBadajoz to win ✗51% · @1.73
Double chanceBadajoz or draw ✓80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Badajoz vs Moralo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 7 June the Tercera División RFEF Group 14 brings Badajoz against Moralo. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT.
Current form
Badajoz, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Moralo, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Moralo, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Badajoz, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Badajoz, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Moralo.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Moralo 0–2 Badajoz. The last 2 head-to-heads: Badajoz 1 win, Moralo 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Badajoz 1.4 xG, Moralo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Badajoz 51%, draw 29%, Moralo 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Badajoz 1–0 Moralo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Badajoz51%fair 1.95 · @1.73
Draw29%fair 3.51 · @3.20
Moralo20%fair 4.94 · @4.50
2.25Expected goals
1.36Badajoz xG
0.89Moralo xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Badajoz 1.4 – 0.9 Moralo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Badajoz vs Moralo?
On our numbers Badajoz have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Moralo 20%.
How many goals will there be in Badajoz vs Moralo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badajoz vs Moralo?
Our predicted score is Badajoz 1–0 Moralo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Badajoz vs Moralo?
Badajoz vs Moralo (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
