Caudal vs Covadonga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Caudal welcome Covadonga for a Tercera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 31 May (17:30 WAT). In the table, Caudal are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Covadonga are 1st (leading the league) with 23.
Current form
Caudal, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sporting Gijón II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Covadonga, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mosconia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Caudal 2–1 Covadonga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caudal 1.4 xG, Covadonga 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caudal 35%, draw 26%, Covadonga 39%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caudal 1–1 Covadonga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caudal35%fair 2.84 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.00
Covadonga39%fair 2.60 · @2.50
2.92Expected goals
1.41Caudal xG
1.51Covadonga xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Caudal 1.4 – 1.5 Covadonga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Caudal vs Covadonga?
On our numbers Caudal have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Covadonga 39%.
How many goals will there be in Caudal vs Covadonga?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caudal vs Covadonga?
Our predicted score is Caudal 1–1 Covadonga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Caudal vs Covadonga?
Caudal vs Covadonga (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
