Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Schalke 04 to win ✓58% · @1.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 19 July: Erzgebirge Aue v FC Schalke 04 in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Erzgebirge Aue, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kladno, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Schalke 04, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Gutersloh, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erzgebirge Aue 1.5 xG, FC Schalke 04 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erzgebirge Aue 24%, draw 18%, FC Schalke 04 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 FC Schalke 04. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erzgebirge Aue24%fair 4.21 · @13.00
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @6.00
FC Schalke 0458%fair 1.71 · @1.17
3.46Expected goals
1.54Erzgebirge Aue xG
1.91FC Schalke 04 xG
55%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Erzgebirge Aue 1.5 – 1.9 FC Schalke 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Erzgebirge Aue
FC Schalke 04
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+33%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-11%
Our expected goals here
2.05
1.64
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Schalke 04 to win✓
58%
1.71
1.17
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
FC Schalke 04 (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Erzgebirge Aue +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
First team to score
FC Schalke 04 to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
FC Schalke 04 ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Schalke 04 / FT FC Schalke 04✓
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.23
–
Recent results
Erzgebirge Aue – last 6
WWWWDD
11 Jul
vs Kladno
2–0
W
8 Jul
vs VfL Halle
7–1
W
3 Jul
@ ZFC Meuselwitz
3–0
W
1 Jul
vs Vysočina Jihlava
3–1
W
8 May
vs MSV Duisburg
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Stuttgart II
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Schalke 04 – last 6
LWWWWW
11 Jul
@ FC Gutersloh
1–2
L
17 May
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ SC Paderborn 07
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Preußen Münster
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ SV Elversberg
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Karlsruher SC
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzgebirge Aue and FC Schalke 04.
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04?
On our numbers Erzgebirge Aue have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FC Schalke 04 58%.
How many goals will there be in Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04?
Our predicted score is Erzgebirge Aue 1–2 FC Schalke 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04?
Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Schalke 04 (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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