Lens 16%Draw 22%Paris Saint Germain 61%Expected goals 0.94 – 2.00
84%
Betarazi pick
Paris Saint Germain or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✗61% · @1.72
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Lens vs Paris Saint Germain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paris Saint Germain travel to face Lens on Sunday 16 August in the Trophée Des Champions, with Stade Bollaert-Delelis the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Lens, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sunderland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Paris Saint Germain, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aston Villa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lens, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Paris Saint Germain.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Lens 0–2 Paris Saint Germain.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lens 0.9 xG, Paris Saint Germain 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 16%, draw 22%, Paris Saint Germain 61%.
Lower-risk option: Paris Saint Germain or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paris Saint Germain or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 0–1 Paris Saint Germain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lens16%fair 6.06 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.75
Paris Saint Germain61%fair 1.63 · @1.72
2.94Expected goals
0.94Lens xG
2.00Paris Saint Germain xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Lens 0.9 – 2.0 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Lens have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris Saint Germain 61%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Lens 0–1 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
Lens vs Paris Saint Germain (Trophée Des Champions) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Trophée Des Champions · France · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
