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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventud v Wanderers: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Parque Artigas
2–5
FT
Juventud 44%Draw 27%Wanderers 29% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.03
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuventud to win ✗44% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90

Juventud vs Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wanderers travel to face Juventud on Sunday 31 May in the Primera División Apertura, with Parque Artigas the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Juventud are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Wanderers are 10th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Juventud, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cienciano, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Wanderers, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Maldonado, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Juventud, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Wanderers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventud 1.3 xG, Wanderers 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud 44%, draw 27%, Wanderers 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud 1–1 Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventud44%fair 2.30 · @2.08
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.25
Wanderers29%fair 3.43 · @3.30
2.32Expected goals
1.29Juventud xG
1.03Wanderers xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Juventud 1.3 – 1.0 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

JuventudWanderers
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-18%-1%
Goals conceded vs average-8%+10%
Our expected goals here1.160.98

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventud to win ✗44%2.302.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.80
Draw no betJuventud (draw no bet) ✗60%1.67–
Asian handicapWanderers +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.301.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.09–
First team to scoreJuventud to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventud / FT Juventud ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.90–

Recent results

Juventud – last 6

DDWDWD
27 May@ Cienciano1–1D
21 May@ Puerto Cabello1–1D
10 May@ Defensor Sporting2–1W
5 Mayvs Atletico-MG2–2D
29 Aprvs Puerto Cabello4–0W
21 Apr@ Penarol2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Wanderers – last 6

DDWLLD
24 Mayvs Deportivo Maldonado1–1D
17 May@ Albion FC0–0D
8 Mayvs Liverpool Montevideo1–0W
25 Mar@ Albion FC1–2L
14 Mar@ Club Nacional0–2L
7 Marvs Deportivo Maldonado0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juventud and Wanderers.

Juventud vs Wanderers head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventud vs Wanderers?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Juventud vs Wanderers?

On our numbers Juventud have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Wanderers 29%.

How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Wanderers?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Juventud vs Wanderers?

Juventud vs Wanderers (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Artigas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.