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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Boston River v Liverpool Montevideo: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Parque Artigas
Boston River 27%Draw 27%Liverpool Montevideo 46% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.39
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓46% · @2.18
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Liverpool Montevideo travel to face Boston River on Monday 1 June in the Primera División Apertura, with Parque Artigas the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Boston River are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Liverpool Montevideo are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Boston River, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sao Paulo, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Racing Montevideo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Liverpool Montevideo, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Boston River.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Boston River 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boston River 0.9 xG, Liverpool Montevideo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boston River 27%, draw 27%, Liverpool Montevideo 46%.
  • Lower-risk option: Liverpool Montevideo or draw (73%) at 1.33.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boston River 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boston River27%fair 3.75 · @3.15
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.20
Liverpool Montevideo46%fair 2.16 · @2.18
2.30Expected goals
0.90Boston River xG
1.39Liverpool Montevideo xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Boston River 0.9 – 1.4 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-15%+15%
Goals conceded vs average+8%-31%
Our expected goals here0.761.34

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓46%2.162.18
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓73%1.361.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.85
Draw no betLiverpool Montevideo (draw no bet) ✓63%1.58–
Asian handicapBoston River +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreLiverpool Montevideo to score first ✓55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo ✓29%3.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.33–

Recent results

Boston River – last 6

LWLLLL
26 May@ Sao Paulo0–2L
20 Mayvs O'Higgins3–2W
11 May@ Deportivo Maldonado1–2L
7 Mayvs Millonarios2–4L
29 Apr@ O'Higgins0–2L
24 Apr@ Atletico Torque1–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Liverpool Montevideo – last 6

DLLWDD
22 Mayvs Racing Montevideo0–0D
8 May@ Wanderers0–1L
19 Aprvs Club Nacional1–3L
14 Apr@ Penarol2–0W
31 Mar@ Progreso3–3D
24 Marvs Central Espanol3–3D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Mar 2026Boston River v Liverpool Montevideo0–1
Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?

On our numbers Boston River have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Liverpool Montevideo 46%.

How many goals will there be in Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Our predicted score is Boston River 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Artigas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.