Wanderers vs Danubio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 5 June the Primera División Apertura brings Wanderers against Danubio. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Wanderers are 10th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Danubio are 14th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Wanderers, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Juventud, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Danubio, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Progreso, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wanderers 1.3 xG, Danubio 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wanderers 45%, draw 28%, Danubio 27%.
Lower-risk option: Wanderers or draw (73%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Wanderers or draw (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wanderers 1–0 Danubio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wanderers45%fair 2.24 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.10
Danubio27%fair 3.64 · @3.10
2.28Expected goals
1.35Wanderers xG
0.93Danubio xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.3 – 0.9 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Wanderers
Danubio
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-1%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.26
0.79
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wanderers to win✗
45%
2.24
2.25
Double chance
Wanderers or draw✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Wanderers (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Danubio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Wanderers to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wanderers / FT Wanderers✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Wanderers – last 6
WDDWLL
31 May
@ Juventud
5–2
W
24 May
vs Deportivo Maldonado
1–1
D
17 May
@ Albion FC
0–0
D
8 May
vs Liverpool Montevideo
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Albion FC
1–2
L
14 Mar
@ Club Nacional
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 6
LLDWDL
30 May
vs Progreso
1–2
L
18 May
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–3
L
26 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs Juventud
4–1
W
8 Mar
@ Penarol
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Racing Montevideo
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Danubio.
Our pick is Wanderers or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Wanderers vs Danubio?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Danubio 27%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–0 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Danubio?
Wanderers vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
