Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Paranaense to win ✓56% · @1.61
Double chanceAtletico Paranaense or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.96
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vitoria travel to face Atletico Paranaense on Tuesday 4 August in the Copa Do Brasil, with Arena da Baixada the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Atletico Paranaense, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Corinthians, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Vitoria, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Palmeiras, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Paranaense 1.5 xG, Vitoria 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Paranaense 56%, draw 25%, Vitoria 19%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Paranaense56%fair 1.79 · @1.61
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.45
Vitoria19%fair 5.29 · @6.25
2.33Expected goals
1.48Atletico Paranaense xG
0.85Vitoria xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Paranaense 1.5 – 0.9 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Paranaense to win✓
56%
1.79
1.61
Double chance
Atletico Paranaense or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.57
Draw no bet
Atletico Paranaense (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Vitoria +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Atletico Paranaense to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Paranaense / FT Atletico Paranaense✓
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.96
–
Recent results
Atletico Paranaense – last 6
DWWLLW
30 Jul
@ Corinthians
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Internacional
2–0
W
23 Jul
@ Sao Paulo
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ RB Bragantino
1–2
L
9 Jul
@ Boca Juniors
0–1
L
30 May
vs Mirassol
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vitoria – last 6
LLDWWW
30 Jul
vs Palmeiras
0–4
L
26 Jul
@ Remo
0–2
L
23 Jul
@ Botafogo
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
6 Jun
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
3 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Paranaense and Vitoria.
What is the prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Atletico Paranaense have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vitoria 19%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena da Baixada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventude0
Atletico-MG1