Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Paranaense to win ✗37% · @2.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.90
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 7 August the Copa Do Brasil brings Vitoria against Atletico Paranaense at Barradao. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Vitoria, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico Paranaense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Atletico Paranaense, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vitoria, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Paranaense, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Vitoria.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Aug 2026) it ended Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Vitoria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.2 xG, Atletico Paranaense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 37%, draw 26%, Atletico Paranaense 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–1 Atletico Paranaense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitoria37%fair 2.72 · @2.48
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.15
Atletico Paranaense37%fair 2.69 · @2.84
2.36Expected goals
1.18Vitoria xG
1.18Atletico Paranaense xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.2 – 1.2 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Paranaense 37%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Corinthians2
Internacional1