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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza Lima W v Sporting Cristal W: numbers & prediction

·
Alianza Lima W 47%Draw 25%Sporting Cristal W 28% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.17
57%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlianza Lima W to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting Cristal W travel to face Alianza Lima W on Saturday 30 May in the – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Lima W 1.8 xG, Sporting Cristal W 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Lima W 47%, draw 25%, Sporting Cristal W 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Lima W 2–1 Sporting Cristal W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza Lima W47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
Sporting Cristal W28%fair 3.53 · @2.90
3.01Expected goals
1.84Alianza Lima W xG
1.17Sporting Cristal W xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: Alianza Lima W 1.8 – 1.2 Sporting Cristal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlianza Lima W to win ✓47%2.122.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betAlianza Lima W (draw no bet) ✓62%1.60–
Asian handicapSporting Cristal W +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreAlianza Lima W to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultAlianza Lima W ahead at half-time ✓40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alianza Lima W / FT Alianza Lima W ✓33%3.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Alianza Lima W – last 1

L
26 May@ Yanapuma W0–2L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Sporting Cristal W – last 2

WW
24 Mayvs Carlos Mannucci W7–0W
21 May@ UNSAAC W1–0W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alianza Lima W and Sporting Cristal W.

Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W?

On our numbers Alianza Lima W have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sporting Cristal W 28%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W?

Our predicted score is Alianza Lima W 2–1 Sporting Cristal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W?

Alianza Lima W vs Sporting Cristal W () kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.