Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Sfera U20 to win @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSfera U20 to win ✓53% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 26 June the Paulista U20 brings Sfera U20 against Mauá U20. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sfera U20 are 14th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 2 matches; Mauá U20 are 11th (lower half) with 1. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sfera U20, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Porto Football U20, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sfera U20 1.6 xG, Mauá U20 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sfera U20 53%, draw 22%, Mauá U20 24%.
Price worth noting: Sfera U20 to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sfera U20 1–0 Mauá U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sfera U2053%fair 1.88 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.30
Mauá U2024%fair 4.09 · @2.88
2.26Expected goals
1.57Sfera U20 xG
0.69Mauá U20 xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sfera U20 1.6 – 0.7 Mauá U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sfera U20 to win✓
53%
1.88
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Sfera U20 (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Mauá U20 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Sfera U20 to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sfera U20 / FT Sfera U20✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.13
–
Recent results
Sfera U20 – last 3
WLL
14 Jun
@ Porto Football U20
1–0
W
5 Jun
@ Capivariano U20
1–2
L
31 May
vs RB Bragantino U20
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mauá U20 – last 2
DD
12 Jun
vs Água Santa U20
1–1
D
29 May
vs Gremio Prudente U20
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sfera U20 and Mauá U20.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20?
On our numbers Sfera U20 have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mauá U20 24%.
How many goals will there be in Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20?
Our predicted score is Sfera U20 1–0 Mauá U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20?
Sfera U20 vs Mauá U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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