União São João U20 57%Draw 22%Aguai U20 21%Expected goals 1.69 – 0.81
79%
Betarazi pick
União São João U20 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: União São João U20 to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnião São João U20 to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceUnião São João U20 or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.23
União São João U20 vs Aguai U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
União São João U20 welcome Aguai U20 for a Paulista U20 fixture on Friday 10 July (19:00 WAT). In the table, União São João U20 are 12th, lower half, on 1 points after 2 matches; Aguai U20 are 15th (in the drop zone) with 0. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
União São João U20, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over São Caetano U20, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aguai U20, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Botafogo SP U20, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União São João U20 1.7 xG, Aguai U20 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União São João U20 57%, draw 22%, Aguai U20 21%.
Lower-risk option: União São João U20 or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: União São João U20 to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was União São João U20 or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: União São João U20 1–0 Aguai U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União São João U2057%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.40
Aguai U2021%fair 4.76 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.69União São João U20 xG
0.81Aguai U20 xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: União São João U20 1.7 – 0.8 Aguai U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
União São João U20
Aguai U20
Attack vs Paulista U20 average
-27%
-31%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+66%
Our expected goals here
1.80
0.76
Our own ratings from every Paulista U20 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União São João U20 to win✗
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
União São João U20 or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
União São João U20 (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Aguai U20 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
União São João U20 to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União São João U20 / FT União São João U20✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.23
–
Recent results
União São João U20 – last 5
WDDDL
3 Jul
@ São Caetano U20
2–0
W
26 Jun
vs Novorizontino U20
0–0
D
12 Jun
vs Velo Clube U20
0–0
D
5 Jun
@ Botafogo SP U20
1–1
D
29 May
vs Ibrachina U20
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Aguai U20 – last 5
DDWLL
4 Jul
vs Botafogo SP U20
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Velo Clube U20
2–2
D
12 Jun
vs SC Paulinense SP U20
1–0
W
5 Jun
@ Ibrachina U20
0–5
L
29 May
vs Oeste U20
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União São João U20 and Aguai U20.
What is the prediction for União São João U20 vs Aguai U20?
Our pick is União São João U20 or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win União São João U20 vs Aguai U20?
On our numbers União São João U20 have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aguai U20 21%.
How many goals will there be in União São João U20 vs Aguai U20?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União São João U20 vs Aguai U20?
Our predicted score is União São João U20 1–0 Aguai U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is União São João U20 vs Aguai U20?
União São João U20 vs Aguai U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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