Value bet: Capivariano U20 to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGremio Prudente U20 to win ✗37% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.72
Gremio Prudente U20 vs Capivariano U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Capivariano U20 travel to face Gremio Prudente U20 on Thursday 6 August in the Paulista U20 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Gremio Prudente U20 are 12th, lower half, on 1 points after 2 matches; Capivariano U20 are 4th (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gremio Prudente U20, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Flamengo SP U20, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Capivariano U20, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Porto Football U20, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio Prudente U20 1.3 xG, Capivariano U20 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio Prudente U20 37%, draw 25%, Capivariano U20 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Capivariano U20 to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio Prudente U20 1–1 Capivariano U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio Prudente U2037%fair 2.67 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.30
Capivariano U2037%fair 2.67 · @2.88
2.68Expected goals
1.28Gremio Prudente U20 xG
1.40Capivariano U20 xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gremio Prudente U20 1.3 – 1.4 Capivariano U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gremio Prudente U20
Capivariano U20
Attack vs Paulista U20 average
+8%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.51
Our own ratings from every Paulista U20 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gremio Prudente U20 to win✗
37%
2.67
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Gremio Prudente U20 (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Gremio Prudente U20 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Capivariano U20 to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Capivariano U20 / FT Capivariano U20✓
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.72
–
Recent results
Gremio Prudente U20 – last 6
LDWLWW
31 Jul
@ Flamengo SP U20
0–1
L
24 Jul
vs XV de Jaú U20
1–1
D
10 Jul
@ Ituano U20
3–0
W
7 Jul
vs Água Santa U20
1–3
L
26 Jun
@ Referencia U20
2–1
W
12 Jun
vs Tanabi SP U20
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Capivariano U20 – last 6
WWDDLD
31 Jul
vs Porto Football U20
4–1
W
17 Jul
vs Referencia U20
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Palmeiras U20
2–2
D
3 Jul
vs Ituano U20
2–2
D
28 Jun
@ RB Bragantino U20
1–3
L
12 Jun
@ XV de Jaú U20
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gremio Prudente U20 and Capivariano U20.
What is the prediction for Gremio Prudente U20 vs Capivariano U20?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Gremio Prudente U20 vs Capivariano U20?
On our numbers Gremio Prudente U20 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Capivariano U20 37%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio Prudente U20 vs Capivariano U20?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio Prudente U20 vs Capivariano U20?
Our predicted score is Gremio Prudente U20 1–1 Capivariano U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gremio Prudente U20 vs Capivariano U20?
Gremio Prudente U20 vs Capivariano U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Portuguesa U203
Juventus U201
São Caetano U200
Novorizontino U203