Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sfera U20 to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSfera U20 to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceSfera U20 or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.45
Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gremio Prudente U20 travel to face Sfera U20 on Friday 28 August in the Paulista U20 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sfera U20 are 14th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 2 matches; Gremio Prudente U20 are 12th (lower half) with 1. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sfera U20, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Referencia U20, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Gremio Prudente U20, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Osasco Audax U20, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sfera U20, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Gremio Prudente U20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sfera U20 1.9 xG, Gremio Prudente U20 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sfera U20 61%, draw 21%, Gremio Prudente U20 18%.
Lower-risk option: Sfera U20 or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Sfera U20 to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sfera U20 or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sfera U20 1–0 Gremio Prudente U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sfera U2061%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.40
Gremio Prudente U2018%fair 5.53 · @3.50
2.77Expected goals
1.88Sfera U20 xG
0.89Gremio Prudente U20 xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sfera U20 1.9 – 0.9 Gremio Prudente U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sfera U20 to win✗
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sfera U20 or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Sfera U20 (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Sfera U20 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Sfera U20 to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Sfera U20 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sfera U20 / FT Sfera U20✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.45
–
Recent results
Sfera U20 – last 6
LWWLWW
14 Aug
@ Referencia U20
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs XV de Jaú U20
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Água Santa U20
3–1
W
24 Jul
vs Osasco Audax U20
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Tanabi SP U20
3–0
W
10 Jul
vs Flamengo SP U20
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gremio Prudente U20 – last 6
DLLLDW
25 Aug
@ Osasco Audax U20
2–2
D
18 Aug
vs RB Bragantino U20
1–3
L
6 Aug
vs Capivariano U20
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Flamengo SP U20
0–1
L
24 Jul
vs XV de Jaú U20
1–1
D
10 Jul
@ Ituano U20
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sfera U20 and Gremio Prudente U20.
What is the prediction for Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
Our pick is Sfera U20 or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
On our numbers Sfera U20 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gremio Prudente U20 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
Our predicted score is Sfera U20 1–0 Gremio Prudente U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20?
Sfera U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
