Referencia U20 17%Draw 22%Sfera U20 61%Expected goals 0.89 – 1.90
61%
Betarazi pick
Sfera U20 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultSfera U20 to win ✗61% · @1.60
Double chanceSfera U20 or draw ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 14.32
Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 14 August the Paulista U20 brings Referencia U20 against Sfera U20. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Referencia U20 are 15th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 2 matches; Sfera U20 are 14th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Referencia U20, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to XV de Jaú U20, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Sfera U20, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over XV de Jaú U20, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Sfera U20, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Referencia U20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Referencia U20 0.9 xG, Sfera U20 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Referencia U20 17%, draw 22%, Sfera U20 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sfera U20 to win (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Referencia U20 0–1 Sfera U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Referencia U2017%fair 5.80 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.75
Sfera U2061%fair 1.64 · @1.60
2.79Expected goals
0.89Referencia U20 xG
1.90Sfera U20 xG
47%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Referencia U20 0.9 – 1.9 Sfera U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sfera U20 to win✗
61%
1.64
1.60
Double chance
Sfera U20 or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Sfera U20 (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Sfera U20 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Sfera U20 to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Sfera U20 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sfera U20 / FT Sfera U20✗
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
7%
14.32
–
Recent results
Referencia U20 – last 6
LLLWLL
11 Aug
@ XV de Jaú U20
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Osasco Audax U20
0–3
L
31 Jul
vs Guarani U20
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Porto Football U20
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ Capivariano U20
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs RB Bragantino U20
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sfera U20 – last 6
WWLWWL
7 Aug
vs XV de Jaú U20
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Água Santa U20
3–1
W
24 Jul
vs Osasco Audax U20
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Tanabi SP U20
3–0
W
10 Jul
vs Flamengo SP U20
5–0
W
3 Jul
@ Guarani U20
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Referencia U20 and Sfera U20.
What is the prediction for Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20?
Our pick is Sfera U20 to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20?
On our numbers Referencia U20 have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sfera U20 61%.
How many goals will there be in Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20?
Our predicted score is Referencia U20 0–1 Sfera U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20?
Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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