Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11% · fair 8.98
Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Palmeiras U20 travel to face Referencia U20 on Friday 21 August in the Paulista U20 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Referencia U20 are 15th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 2 matches; Palmeiras U20 are 6th (upper half) with 3. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Referencia U20, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sfera U20, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Palmeiras U20, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over XV de Jaú U20, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Palmeiras U20, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Referencia U20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Referencia U20 0.6 xG, Palmeiras U20 2.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Referencia U20 8%, draw 17%, Palmeiras U20 75%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palmeiras U20 to win (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Referencia U20 0–2 Palmeiras U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Referencia U208%fair 12.33 · @9.50
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @5.75
Palmeiras U2075%fair 1.33 · @1.20
2.78Expected goals
0.57Referencia U20 xG
2.21Palmeiras U20 xG
43%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–215%
0–114%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
1–36%
From our goals model: Referencia U20 0.6 – 2.2 Palmeiras U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras U20 to win✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Double chance
Palmeiras U20 or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Palmeiras U20 (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Palmeiras U20 -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Palmeiras U20 to score first✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Palmeiras U20 ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras U20 / FT Palmeiras U20✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
11%
8.98
–
Recent results
Referencia U20 – last 6
WLLLWL
14 Aug
vs Sfera U20
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ XV de Jaú U20
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Osasco Audax U20
0–3
L
31 Jul
vs Guarani U20
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Porto Football U20
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ Capivariano U20
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Palmeiras U20 – last 6
WWWWWL
14 Aug
vs XV de Jaú U20
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Ituano U20
4–0
W
7 Aug
@ Tanabi SP U20
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Mauá U20
2–0
W
30 Jul
vs RB Bragantino U20
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs RB Bragantino U20
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Referencia U20 and Palmeiras U20.
What is the prediction for Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20?
Our pick is Palmeiras U20 to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20?
On our numbers Referencia U20 have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Palmeiras U20 75%.
How many goals will there be in Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20?
Our predicted score is Referencia U20 0–2 Palmeiras U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20?
Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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