Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultCapivariano U20 to win ✓60% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 15.52
Mauá U20 vs Capivariano U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Capivariano U20 travel to face Mauá U20 on Friday 4 September in the Paulista U20 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Mauá U20 are 11th, lower half, on 1 points after 2 matches; Capivariano U20 are 4th (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mauá U20, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to RB Bragantino U20, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Capivariano U20, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Flamengo SP U20, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Capivariano U20, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Mauá U20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mauá U20 0.9 xG, Capivariano U20 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mauá U20 20%, draw 20%, Capivariano U20 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Capivariano U20 to win (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mauá U20 0–1 Capivariano U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mauá U2020%fair 4.91 · @4.33
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Capivariano U2060%fair 1.67 · @1.65
2.71Expected goals
0.91Mauá U20 xG
1.80Capivariano U20 xG
46%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Mauá U20 0.9 – 1.8 Capivariano U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Capivariano U20 to win✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Capivariano U20 (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Mauá U20 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Capivariano U20 to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Capivariano U20 ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Capivariano U20 / FT Capivariano U20✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
6%
15.52
–
Recent results
Mauá U20 – last 6
LLWLLD
21 Aug
@ RB Bragantino U20
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Osasco Audax U20
0–5
L
11 Aug
@ Porto Football U20
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Palmeiras U20
0–2
L
24 Jul
vs Flamengo SP U20
1–2
L
17 Jul
@ Ituano U20
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Capivariano U20 – last 6
LDLWWW
21 Aug
@ Flamengo SP U20
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Guarani U20
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Água Santa U20
1–2
L
6 Aug
@ Gremio Prudente U20
3–0
W
31 Jul
vs Porto Football U20
4–1
W
17 Jul
vs Referencia U20
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mauá U20 and Capivariano U20.
What is the prediction for Mauá U20 vs Capivariano U20?
Our pick is Capivariano U20 to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Mauá U20 vs Capivariano U20?
On our numbers Mauá U20 have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Capivariano U20 60%.
How many goals will there be in Mauá U20 vs Capivariano U20?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mauá U20 vs Capivariano U20?
Our predicted score is Mauá U20 0–1 Capivariano U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mauá U20 vs Capivariano U20?
Mauá U20 vs Capivariano U20 (Paulista U20) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.