Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Guarani MG to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCaldense to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.42
Caldense vs Guarani MG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 17 June the Mineiro 2 brings Caldense against Guarani MG. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Caldense, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CAP, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caldense 1.1 xG, Guarani MG 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caldense 39%, draw 27%, Guarani MG 34%.
Price worth noting: Guarani MG to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldense 1–1 Guarani MG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caldense39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.88
Guarani MG34%fair 2.98 · @3.20
2.26Expected goals
1.14Caldense xG
1.12Guarani MG xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Caldense 1.1 – 1.1 Guarani MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caldense to win✗
39%
2.56
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Caldense (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Guarani MG +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Caldense to score first✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caldense / FT Caldense✗
20%
4.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.42
–
Recent results
Caldense – last 3
DWL
14 Jun
@ CAP
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs BOA
1–0
W
30 May
@ Uberaba
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guarani MG – last 2
WL
13 Jun
vs Mamoré
2–1
W
31 May
@ BOA
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldense and Guarani MG.
What is the prediction for Caldense vs Guarani MG?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Caldense vs Guarani MG?
On our numbers Caldense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guarani MG 34%.
How many goals will there be in Caldense vs Guarani MG?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldense vs Guarani MG?
Our predicted score is Caldense 1–1 Guarani MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Caldense vs Guarani MG?
Caldense vs Guarani MG (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 2 · Brazil
Uberaba1
CAP1